Thursday, January 30, 2014

When should I get married?

Secretary Problem (Background Information)

[from Wikipedia]

The basic form of the problem is the following: imagine an administrator willing to hire the best secretary out of n rankable applicants for a position. The applicants are interviewed one-by-one in random order. A decision about each particular applicant is to be made immediately after the interview. Once rejected, an applicant cannot be recalled. During the interview, the administrator can rank the applicant among all applicants interviewed so far, but is unaware of the quality of yet unseen applicants. The question is about the optimal strategy to maximize the probability of selecting the best applicant. 

The optimal stopping rule prescribes to reject about n/e applicants after the interview (where e is the base of the natural logarithm) without choice then stop at the first applicant who is better than every applicant interviewed so far (or proceed to the last applicant if this never occurs)

This strategy selects the single best candidate about 37% of the time, irrespective of whether there are 100 or 100 million applicants.

My Case
  • Years to live: 60
  • Average number of marriage candidates met every day: 2
  • Total number of candidates to be met: 43'800
  • Eliminate all without thinking until no. 16'113
  • Years to wait: 22.07 (at least)

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Ketogenic Diet

Macro-nutrient proportions (calorie-wise):
75% Fat, 20% Proteins, 5% Carbs

Safe Foods (No Carbs/Trace Carbs):

Beef, Steak, Hamburger, Prime Rib, Filet Mignon, Roast Beef, Chicken, Duck, Any Fish, Tuna, Salmon, Trout, Halibut, Lamb, Pork, Bacon, Ham, Eggs, Shrimp, Crab, Lobster, Butter, Oils (Olive Oil, Flaxseed oil, etc.), Mustard, Salt, Pepper, Soy Sauce, Tea, Coffee, Heavy Cream and Nutrasweet/Equal.

Minimal Carb Foods (Limited Quantities Only, Check Carb Content!):

Broccoli, Spinach, Lettuce, Cabbage, Bok Choy, Kale, Asparagus, Mustard Greens, Mushrooms, Cucumbers, Pickles, Celery, Green Beans, Brussel Sprouts, Cauliflower, Peppers (Red, Green, Jalapeno, Habanero), Onions, Sprouts (bean, alfalfa, etc.), Radicchio and endive, Herbs - parsley, cilantro, basil, rosemary, thyme etc, Radishes, Sea Vegetables (Nori, etc), Jicama, Avocado, Asparagus, Green Beans and Wax Beans, Broccoli, Summer Squash, Zuchinni, Olives, Scallions or green onions, Bamboo Shoots, Leeks, Brussels Sprouts, Snow Peas (pods), Tomatoes, Eggplant, Tomatillos, Artichokes, Fennel, Okra, Spaghetti Squash, Celery Root (Celeriac), Turnip, Water Chestnuts, Pumpkin, Nuts, Flaxseeds, Cheeses, Salami, Pastrami, Hot Dogs, Sausages, Ribs (watch out for the sauce!), Buffalo Wings, Liverwurst, Oysters, Abalone, Protein Powders, Sugar Free Jello, Salad Dressings (some), some Wines.

Higher Carb Foods (Very Limited Quantities!):

Grapefruit, Lemons, Limes, Strawberries, Rasberries, Blackberries, Kiwis, plums, oranges, pears, pineapple

Foods that are NOT appropriate:

Beer, Mixed drinks, Bread, Milk, Pasta, Grains, Cereal, Rice, Potatoes, Corn, Carrots, Peas, Candy, Cake, Cheesecake, biscuits, Donuts, Fruit Juices, High Carb Fruits (Apricots, grapes, Bananas, Peaches, Nectarines, cherries, Pomegranates, Mangos, Figs, Dried Fruit, such as dates, raisins, dried apricots, and prunes etc.), Pastries, Non-Diet Soft Drinks, Rolls, Bagels, Popcorn, Battered Foods (Fried Chicken, etc.), Gravy, Honey, Sugar, chocolate and Corn Syrup.

Thursday, January 16, 2014

Warren Buffett Books

Books by Buffett

  • The Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Corporate America, Third Edition by Warren Buffett
  • Berkshire Hathaway Letters to Shareholders by Warren Buffett (Author) and Max Olson (Editor)
Books on Buffett

  • The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life by Alice Schroeder
  • Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist by Roger Lowenstein
  • Tap Dancing to Work: Warren Buffett on Practically Everything by Carol Loomis
Books recommended by Buffett

  • The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham
  • Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd
  • Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits and Other Writings by Philip A. Fisher
  • Conservative Investors Sleep Well by Philip A. Fisher
  • Learn to Earn: A Beginner’s Guide to the Basics of Investing (The Classic Guide) by Peter Lynch
  • Winning by Jack Welch and Suzy Welch
  • Poor Charlie’s Almanack The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger by Charles T. Munge
  • Seeking Wisdom: From Darwin to Munger by Peter Bevelin
  • Where Are the Customers’ Yachts: or A Good Hard Look at Wall Street by Fred Schwed
  • The Outsiders by William Thorndike Jr.
  • The Clash of Cultures: Investment vs Speculation by Jack Bogle
  • When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management by Roger Lowenstein
  • Investing Between the Lines: How to Make Smarter Decisions By Decoding CEO Communications by Laura Rittenhouse
  • In an Uncertain World: Tough Choices from Wall Street to Washington by Robert Rubin and Jacob Weisberg
  • The Smartest Guys in the Room by Bethany McLean
  • Sam Walton: Made in America by Sam Walton
  • Jack: Straight from the Gut by Jack Welch
  • The Money Masters by John Train
  • The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money by John Maynard Keynes
  • Money Game by Adam Smith

Sunday, January 12, 2014

High Quality Men's Shoes

1. Alden –
2. Alfred Sargent –
3. Allen-Edmonds –
4. Altan –
5. Artioli –
6. Aubercy –
7. Bally –
8. Barker Black –
9. Barrett –
10. Berluti –
11. Bontoni –
12. Carlos Santos –
13. Carmina –
14. Cheaney –
15. Church’s –
16. Cleverley –
17. Corthay –
18. Crockett & Jones –
19. Ducker & Son –
20. Edward Green –
21. Emling –
22. Enzo Bonafe –
23. Finsbury –
24. Foster & Son –
25. Gaziano & Girling –
26. Gravati –
27. Grenson –
28. Heschung –
29. J M Weston –
30. John Lobb –
31. Loake –
32. Loding –
33. Ludwig Reiter –
34. Lutwyche/ Lodger –
35. Magnanni –
36. Marc Guyot –
37. Moreschi –
38. Paolo Scafora –
39. Paraboot –
40. Quoddy –
41. Saint Crispin’s –
42. Sanders –
43. Santoni –
44. Scarpe Di Bianco –
45. Septieme Largeur –
46. Shipton & Heneage –
47. Silvano Lattanzi –
48. Stefano Bemer –
49. StefanoBi –
50. Sutor Mantellassi –
51. Testoni –
52. Tod’s –
53. Tricker’s –
54. Vass –

Sunday, January 5, 2014


Pure Origin

  • Dulsão do Brasil (intensity:4)
  • Indriya from India (intensity:10)
  • Rosabaya de Colombia (intensity:6)

Espresso range

  • Kazaar (intensity:12)
  • Dharkan (intensity:11)
  • Ristretto (intensity:10)
  • Arpeggio (intensity:9)
  • Roma (intensity:8)
  • Decaffeinato Intenso (intensity:7)
  • Livanto (intensity:6)
  • Capriccio (intensity:5)
  • Volluto (intensity:4)
  • Cosi (intensity:3)
  • Decaffeinato (intensity:2)

Lungo range

  • Fortissio Lungo (intensity:7)
  • Vivalto Lungo (intensity:4)
  • Finezzo Lungo (intensity:3) (phased out in January 2013, replaced by Linizio)
  • Decaffeinato Lungo (intensity:3)
  • Linizio Lungo (intensity:4) – January 2013

Variations range

  • Vanilio (intensity:6) - June 2013
  • Ciocattino (intensity:6) - June 2013
  • Caramelito (intensity:6) - June 2013