Sunday, November 8, 2015

"Are there many Turks there?"


After my mediocre performance on predicting the latest general election in Turkey (June 2015), I didn't want to fail publicly for a second time. If I were to do a similar analysis, I would indeed be off again by a much larger margin; this is once again due to pollsters' wrong predictions.

This time, however, I used the post-election data to calculate the Turkish population density in various countries. I simply divided the number of eligible Turkish voters (18+ of age residents; not just the valid votes) in a country by that country’s population. No fortunetelling here.

Depending on how Turkish-phil you are, you can leverage this analysis and decide where you want to live or head to.



CountryNumber of Turkish votersPopulationRatio
Germany1,411,198 81,197,5001.7380%
Netherlands245,523 16,926,7001.4505%
Austria107,880 8,623,0731.2511%
Belgium133,315 11,267,5811.1832%
Switzerland93,259 8,279,7001.1264%
Denmark32,921 5,678,3480.5798%
France317,997 67,107,0000.4739%
Sweden37,073 9,816,6660.3777%
Australia42,271 23,947,9000.1765%
Norway8,184 5,189,4350.1577%
UK86,855 64,800,0000.1340%
Qatar2,635 2,288,9270.1151%
Macedonia2,165 2,069,1720.1046%
Bulgaria7,533 7,202,1980.1046%
Greece10,589 10,846,9790.0976%
Lebanon4,037 4,168,0000.0969%
Turkmenistan4,593 4,751,1200.0967%
Saudi Arabia27,320 31,521,4180.0867%
Finland4,499 5,491,1400.0819%
Azerbaijan7,003 9,666,0000.0724%
Kosovo1,290 1,827,2310.0706%
Canada22,938 35,851,7740.0640%
Israel4,640 8,419,7000.0551%
Bosnia and Herzegovina2,019 3,791,6220.0532%
Bahrain660 1,359,8000.0485%
UAE4,348 9,157,0000.0475%
Georgia1,736 3,729,5000.0465%
Oman1,494 4,261,6540.0351%
Ireland1,520 4,635,4000.0328%
Albania943 2,893,0050.0326%
Romania6,222 19,942,6420.0312%
Kyrgyzstan1,807 5,975,0000.0302%
USA93,329 322,149,0000.0290%
Kazakhstan4,880 17,584,0000.0278%
Kuwait1,156 4,183,6580.0276%
Italy13,786 60,725,0000.0227%
Jordan1,719 7,595,0000.0226%
Hungary1,653 9,849,0000.0168%
New Zealand686 4,628,5600.0148%
Czech Republic838 10,541,4660.0079%
Russia11,384 146,423,0800.0078%
Poland2,382 38,484,0000.0062%
Ukraine2,472 42,805,7310.0058%
Spain2,416 46,439,8640.0052%
Algeria1,379 39,500,0000.0035%
Japan2,950 126,890,0000.0023%
Sudan873 38,435,2520.0023%
Uzbekistan670 31,022,5000.0022%
South Africa1,030 54,956,9000.0019%
Egypt1,443 89,778,9000.0016%
Iran1,029 78,756,5000.0013%
Thailand703 65,104,0000.0011%
China1,943 1,372,960,0000.0001%